Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.178834 0.205261 0.235304 0.272205 0.316610 0.368700 0.434990
2025-06-08 0.134966 0.167971 0.209576 0.266775 0.344818 0.449776 0.605508
2025-06-15 0.113707 0.150134 0.199727 0.274129 0.386493 0.556160 0.845052
2025-06-22 0.096067 0.132421 0.184810 0.268808 0.406219 0.634320 1.071475
2025-06-29 0.085208 0.121827 0.177242 0.271447 0.437121 0.737658 1.384355
2025-07-06 0.075645 0.111393 0.167692 0.268180 0.456159 0.824836 1.707051
2025-07-13 0.069586 0.105371 0.163913 0.273474 0.491399 0.954322 2.194806
2025-07-20 0.064724 0.100520 0.161152 0.279737 0.529781 1.104065 2.831431
2025-07-27 0.060506 0.096138 0.158435 0.285345 0.568092 1.268599 3.637303
2025-08-03 0.057145 0.092780 0.156990 0.293057 0.613135 1.469480 4.747914
2025-08-10 0.053588 0.088636 0.153459 0.295665 0.646848 1.655145 6.004389
2025-08-17 0.050276 0.084561 0.149494 0.296546 0.676569 1.844000 7.518128
2025-08-24 0.046949 0.080191 0.144543 0.294681 0.699798 2.029004 9.323743
2025-08-31 0.043676 0.075616 0.138659 0.289701 0.713523 2.191629 11.316235
2025-09-07 0.041937 0.073833 0.138326 0.298106 0.769478 2.550608 15.486322
2025-09-14 0.039191 0.069795 0.132712 0.292259 0.779901 2.732600 18.785550
2025-09-21 0.037395 0.067502 0.130624 0.295203 0.820236 3.079375 24.909088
2025-09-28 0.035287 0.064384 0.126352 0.291579 0.837450 3.331811 31.132006
2025-10-05 0.034012 0.062882 0.125571 0.297458 0.891054 3.823639 43.612524
2025-10-12 0.032896 0.061615 0.125181 0.304415 0.951877 4.422413 63.169393
2025-10-19 0.031811 0.060316 0.124568 0.310649 1.012928 5.097733 92.999628
2025-10-26 0.030923 0.059371 0.124702 0.319226 1.088021 5.974451 145.803568
2025-11-02 0.029792 0.057794 0.123102 0.322127 1.140175 6.759669 218.307572